Why does ISIS attack Deir Al-Zor? How does it affect the operation field on Iraq? Did the Sahara War start? (Initial report)

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In the past days, Deir Al-Zor city in Syria has been –and still is – under sudden extensive attack held by ISIS after a two years siege during which ISIS seized approximately 60% of the city. And the battle is still heating between the Syrian army and ISIS up to the moment of writing these lines. So, what are the goals and reasons that drove ISIS to launch this attack at this stage?

This attack has military, financial, and psychological reasons. We summarize it in the following:

Military reasons:

1. ISIS tries to gain military benefits using the troubled military and political situation in Syria and the area.
2. ISIS aims to expand the defensive geographical depth and the critical field of the areas under its control, so as to prepare for the next battle.
3. ISIS realizes the strategic importance of Deir Al-Zor government, as it close the Iraq’s borders towards the upper Mesopotamia and the northern and western Al-Anbar’s desert.
4. The after Al-Mosul  stage begun with ISIS’s return to “guerilla warfare” strategy and returning to the desert, and that tactically require ISIS to gain control over its extensions, critical areas, and Deir Al-Zor –the advanced Western Sahara’s platform –.
5. Dier Al-Zor city – which is besieged by ISIS from the beginning of 2015 – is considered a strategic passage for operations and reinforcements between Al-Raqqah and Al-Bukamal –which is adjacent to Al-Qa’im city at the Iraq’s borders –.
6. ISIS seeks after obtaining weapons and ammunition by controlling the large weapons stores in Dier Al-Zor military airport.

Financial reasons:

ISIS considers Dier Al-Zor one of the most important funding resources and calls it (the stat of goods – Wilayat Al-Khayr), as it contain oil and gas wells, agricultural regions, and a human tank. And it’s determined to complete its control over it after its bankruptcy and failure of its revenue economy.

Psychological reasons:

ISIS aims to create a field equivalent by gaining military profits – even limited ones – to make up for its loss in Al-Mosul, and to give its elements, fitters, and allays a moral and psychological motive that can reconstruct the massive damage which infected its collapsing morale body.

The Sahara war:

The defense analysis and strategic evaluation of ISIS movements tell that it has continued moving its activity to the Sahara and return to (the stage before empowerment) and (the guerrilla warfare, fight-or-flight response, and the spreading terrorism). And that require more control over some areas and points of essential aspect, so as to control the Sahara and with it Dier Al-Zor, Tadmor, the Syrian border with Iraq, and Al-Qa’im. We can reason out ISIS’s new strategy from the new terrorist attacks on the cities close to the Sahara like Al-Najaf Al-Ashruf, Karbola’ Al-Muqadsah, Samora’, Al- Shirqat, and Balad.

And that require planning and preparation to authorize ISIS’s projects and demolish its violent intentions.

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